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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Kamp ·

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr31%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr42%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
31% / 27% / 42%KampresultatUdesejr42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dobbeltchance1273.2%1.37
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Begge hold scorerJa59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapPenarol winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Montevideo City Torque win31%3.233.0030.5%+0.5 pp
Uafgjort27%3.703.4026.9%+0.1 pp
Penarol win42%2.382.1542.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montevideo City Torque1.39

Hjemme share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Penarol1.54

Ude share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Penarol

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vundet probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.39
Expected goals
1.54
Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montevideo City Torque signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montevideo City Torque vundet 31%,Uafgjort 27%,Penarol vundet 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over