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URY Uruguai - Clausura · Partida ·

Montevideo City Torque vs Peñarol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa31%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante42%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Montevideo City TorquePeñarol
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima56% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
31% / 27% / 42%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dupla Chance1273.2%1.37
Acima 56% · Abaixo 44%Goals 2.5Acima56%1.79
Sim 59% · Não 41%Ambas as equipes marcamSim59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
9.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapPeñarol winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Montevideo City Torque win31%3.233.0030.5%+0.5 pp
Empate27%3.703.4026.9%+0.1 pp
Peñarol win42%2.382.1542.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montevideo City Torque1.39

Mandante share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 56% · Abaixo 44%

Peñarol1.54

Visitante share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 59% · Não 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Peñarol

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.39
Expected goals
1.54
Montevideo City TorquePeñarol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montevideo City Torque signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Peñarol signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Montevideo City Torque vs Peñarol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montevideo City Torque ganhou 31%,Empate 27%,Peñarol ganhou 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Acima 2.5 56% · Current selection Acima