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URY Uruguay - Torneo Clausura · Partido ·

Montevideo City Torque vs Peñarol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local31%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante42%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Montevideo City TorquePeñarol
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
31% / 27% / 42%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doble Oportunidad1273.2%1.37
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapPeñarol winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Montevideo City Torque win31%3.233.0030.5%+0.5 pp
Empate27%3.703.4026.9%+0.1 pp
Peñarol win42%2.382.1542.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montevideo City Torque1.39

Local share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Peñarol1.54

Visitante share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Peñarol

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Ganado probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.39
Expected goals
1.54
Montevideo City TorquePeñarol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montevideo City Torque signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Peñarol signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Montevideo City Torque vs Peñarol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montevideo City Torque ganada 31%,Empate 27%,Peñarol ganada 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de