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モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ vs ペニャロール

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利31%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利42%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利42% selection probability
Projected score1–2モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケペニャロール
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
31% / 27% / 42%試合結果アウェイ勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)ダブルチャンス1273.2%1.37
オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%Goals 2.5オーバー56%1.79
はい 59% · いいえ 41%両チーム得点はい59%1.69
2.93 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapペニャロール winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ win31%3.233.0030.5%+0.5 pp
引き分け27%3.703.4026.9%+0.1 pp
ペニャロール win42%2.382.1542.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ1.39

ホーム share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%

ペニャロール1.54

アウェイ share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 59% · いいえ 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ペニャロール

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
勝ち probability excluding draw
42%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.39
Expected goals
1.54
モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケペニャロール
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ペニャロール signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ vs ペニャロール FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ 勝ち 31%,引き分け 27%,ペニャロール 勝ち 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · オーバー 2.5 56% · Current selection オーバー