Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 33% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro win (26.3%)Double chance1X73.7%1.36
Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%Goals 2.5Moins de74%1.35
Oui 33% · Non 67%Les deux équipes marquentNon67%1.49
1.77 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Danubio win40%2.50
Nul33%3.03
Cerro win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 60.5%
Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%
Extérieur share of expected goals 39.5%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 33% · Non 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchDanubio
WWLDD
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchCerro
DDWWW
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%8
Points from supplied form
111.07
Expected goals
0.70DanubioCerro
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
Danubio vs Cerro FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Danubio victoire 40%，Nul 33%，Cerro victoire 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.77 · Plus de 2.5 26% · Current selection Moins de。