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Danubio vs Cerro

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích41%
Remíza33%
Výhra hostů26%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích41% selection probability
Projected score1–1DanubioCerro
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně74% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
41% / 33% / 26%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro win (26%)Dvojitá šance1X74%1.35
Více 26% · Méně 74%Goals 2.5Méně74%1.35
Ano 34% · Ne 66%Oba týmy skórujíNe66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
8.6 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Danubio win41%2.44
Remíza33%3.03
Cerro win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Danubio1.09

Domácí share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 26% · Méně 74%

Cerro0.69

Hosté share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 34% · Ne 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Danubio

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Cerro

2.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Výhra probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.09
Expected goals
0.69
DanubioCerro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Danubio signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Danubio vs Cerro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Danubio výhra 41%,Remíza 33%,Cerro výhra 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Více 2.5 26% · Current selection Méně