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URY Уругвай - Клаусура · Матч ·

Данубио vs Серро

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–1ДанубиоСерро
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше74% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 33% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Серро win (26%)Двойной шанс1X74%1.35
Больше 26% · Меньше 74%Goals 2.5Меньше74%1.35
Да 34% · Нет 66%Обе забьютНет66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Данубио win41%2.44
Ничья33%3.03
Серро win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Данубио1.09

Хозяева share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 26% · Меньше 74%

Серро0.69

Гости share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Нет 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Данубио

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Серро

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.09
Expected goals
0.69
ДанубиоСерро
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Данубио signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Серро signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Данубио vs Серро FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Данубио выигрыш 41%,Ничья 33%,Серро выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · ТБ 2.5 26% · Current selection Меньше