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URY Uruguay Clausura · Fixture ·

Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–01.33 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw30%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win35% selection probability
Projected score1–0Cerro LargoJuventud De Las Piedras
Expected goals1.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under85% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 30% / 35%Match resultHome win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Double chance1269.6%1.44
Over 15% · Under 85%Goals 2.5Under85%1.18
Yes 21% · No 79%Both teams scoreNo79%1.27
1.33 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapJuventud De Las Piedras winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo win35%2.862.7033.9%+1.1 pp
Draw30%3.333.1029.5%+0.5 pp
Juventud De Las Piedras win35%2.862.5036.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo0.88

Home share of expected goals 66.2%

Total expected goals1.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 15% · Under 85%

Juventud De Las Piedras0.45

Away share of expected goals 33.8%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 21% · No 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Juventud De Las Piedras

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
6
0.88
Expected goals
0.45
Cerro LargoJuventud De Las Piedras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juventud De Las Piedras signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–0 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo win 35%,Draw 30%,Juventud De Las Piedras win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.33 · Over 2.5 15% · Current selection Under