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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Meci ·

Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–01.33 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde34%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți36%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți36% selection probability
Projected score1–0Cerro LargoJuventud De Las Piedras
Expected goals1.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub85% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
34% / 30% / 36%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Șansă dublă1270.3%1.42
Peste 15% · Sub 85%Goals 2.5Sub85%1.18
Da 21% · Nu 79%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu79%1.27
1.33 total expected goalsScor corect1–0
8.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapJuventud De Las Piedras winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cerro Largo win34%2.942.8032.9%+1.1 pp
Egal30%3.333.2028.8%+1.2 pp
Juventud De Las Piedras win36%2.782.4038.4%-2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cerro Largo0.88

Gazde share of expected goals 66.2%

Total expected goals1.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 15% · Sub 85%

Juventud De Las Piedras0.45

Oaspeți share of expected goals 33.8%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitDa 21% · Nu 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Juventud De Las Piedras

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Câștig probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
6
0.88
Expected goals
0.45
Cerro LargoJuventud De Las Piedras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cerro Largo signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juventud De Las Piedras signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Cerro Largo vs Juventud De Las Piedras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–0 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cerro Largo câștig 34%,Egal 30%,Juventud De Las Piedras câștig 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.33 · Peste 2.5 15% · Current selection Sub