Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 26% / 26%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Forfar win (25.7%)Double chance1X74.3%1.35
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapForfar winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elgin win48%2.081.8348.9%-0.9 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Forfar win26%3.853.6024.8%+1.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50%
Total expected goals2.72Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 50%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchElgin
WLDDL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchForfar
DWWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Win probability excluding draw
26%5
Points from supplied form
131.36
Expected goals
1.36ElginForfar
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Elgin vs Forfar FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Elgin win 48%，Draw 26%，Forfar win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。