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SCO Scotland League Two · Fixture ·

Spartans FC vs Edinburgh City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.37 expected goals
Away form
Home win63%
Draw22%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Spartans FCEdinburgh City
Expected goals3.37Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 22% / 15%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Edinburgh City win (15.2%)Double chance1X84.8%1.18
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
3.37 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Spartans FC win63%1.59
Draw22%4.55
Edinburgh City win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Spartans FC2.56

Home share of expected goals 76%

Total expected goals3.37Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Edinburgh City0.81

Away share of expected goals 24%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Spartans FC

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Edinburgh City

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
8
Points from supplied form
0
2.56
Expected goals
0.81
Spartans FCEdinburgh City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Spartans FC signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Edinburgh City signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Spartans FC vs Edinburgh City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Spartans FC win 63%,Draw 22%,Edinburgh City win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over