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SCO Scotland League Two · Round 1 ·

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw27%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1StranraerAnnan Athletic
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 27% / 29%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapStranraer winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stranraer win44%2.272.0543.8%+0.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Annan Athletic win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stranraer1.35

Home share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Annan Athletic1.16

Away share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Stranraer

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Annan Athletic

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.35
Expected goals
1.16
StranraerAnnan Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stranraer signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Annan Athletic signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stranraer win 44%,Draw 27%,Annan Athletic win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under