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SCO Scotia - League Two · Round 1 ·

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde45%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți28%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde45% selection probability
Projected score1–1StranraerAnnan Athletic
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
45% / 27% / 28%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Șansă dublă1272.7%1.38
Peste 46% · Sub 54%Goals 2.5Sub54%1.85
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stranraer win45%2.222.0045%0.0 pp
Egal27%3.703.3027.3%-0.3 pp
Annan Athletic win28%3.573.2527.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stranraer1.35

Gazde share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 46% · Sub 54%

Annan Athletic1.16

Oaspeți share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Stranraer

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Annan Athletic

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalNu recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Câștig probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.35
Expected goals
1.16
StranraerAnnan Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stranraer signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Annan Athletic signalNu recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stranraer câștig 45%,Egal 27%,Annan Athletic câștig 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Peste 2.5 46% · Current selection Sub