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SCO Schotland - League Two · Round 1 ·

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst28%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score1–1StranraerAnnan Athletic
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 27% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dubbele Kans1272.7%1.38
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stranraer win45%2.222.0045%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.3027.3%-0.3 pp
Annan Athletic win28%3.573.2527.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stranraer1.35

Thuis share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

Annan Athletic1.16

Uit share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Stranraer

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Annan Athletic

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.35
Expected goals
1.16
StranraerAnnan Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stranraer signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Annan Athletic signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Stranraer vs Annan Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stranraer gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 27%,Annan Athletic gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder