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SCO Scotia - League Two · Round 1 ·

Dumbarton vs Clyde

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.82 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde26%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți47%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți47% selection probability
Projected score1–2DumbartonClyde
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
26% / 27% / 47%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dumbarton win (25.9%)Șansă dublăX274.1%1.35
Peste 54% · Sub 46%Goals 2.5Peste54%1.85
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.82 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Dumbarton win26%3.85
Egal27%3.70
Clyde win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dumbarton1.06

Gazde share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 54% · Sub 46%

Clyde1.76

Oaspeți share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Dumbarton

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Clyde

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Câștig probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.06
Expected goals
1.76
DumbartonClyde
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dumbarton signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Clyde signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dumbarton vs Clyde FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dumbarton câștig 26%,Egal 27%,Clyde câștig 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Peste 2.5 54% · Current selection Peste