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SCO Scotland League Two · Fixture ·

Kelty Hearts vs Stirling

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.85 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw25%
Away win35%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Kelty HeartsStirling
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 25% / 35%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Double chance1275%1.33
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.85 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Kelty Hearts win40%2.50
Draw25%4.00
Stirling win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kelty Hearts1.49

Home share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Stirling1.36

Away share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Kelty Hearts

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Stirling

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.49
Expected goals
1.36
Kelty HeartsStirling
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kelty Hearts signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stirling signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Kelty Hearts vs Stirling FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kelty Hearts win 40%,Draw 25%,Stirling win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over