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SCO Шотландия - Лига Две · Round 1 ·

Елгин vs Форфар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина48%
Равен26%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЕлгинФорфар
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
48% / 26% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Форфар win (25.7%)Двоен шанс1X74.3%1.35
Над 51% · Под 49%Goals 2.5Над51%1.96
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapФорфар winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Елгин win48%2.081.8348.9%-0.9 pp
Равен26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Форфар win26%3.853.6024.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Елгин1.36

Домакин share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 51% · Под 49%

Форфар1.36

Гост share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Елгин

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Форфар

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.36
Expected goals
1.36
ЕлгинФорфар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Елгин signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Форфар signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Елгин vs Форфар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Елгин печеливш 48%,Равен 26%,Форфар печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Над 2.5 51% · Current selection Над