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SCO スコットランド リーグ2 · Round 1 ·

エルギン vs フォーファー・アスレティック

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利48%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利26%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利48% selection probability
Projected score1–1エルギンフォーファー・アスレティック
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
48% / 26% / 26%試合結果ホーム勝利48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フォーファー・アスレティック win (25.7%)ダブルチャンス1X74.3%1.35
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
2.72 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapフォーファー・アスレティック winDifference+1.2 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
エルギン win48%2.081.8348.9%-0.9 pp
引き分け26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
フォーファー・アスレティック win26%3.853.6024.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

エルギン1.36

ホーム share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

フォーファー・アスレティック1.36

アウェイ share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

エルギン

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フォーファー・アスレティック

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
勝ち probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.36
Expected goals
1.36
エルギンフォーファー・アスレティック
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01エルギン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フォーファー・アスレティック signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

エルギン vs フォーファー・アスレティック FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

エルギン 勝ち 48%,引き分け 26%,フォーファー・アスレティック 勝ち 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー