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SCO Scotland League Two · Round 1 ·

Elgin vs Forfar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng48%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng26%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ElginForfar
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài51% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
48% / 26% / 26%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Forfar win (25.7%)Cơ hội kép1X74.3%1.35
Tài 51% · Xỉu 49%Goals 2.5Tài51%1.96
Có 56% · Không 44%Cả hai đội ghi bàn56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapForfar winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Elgin win48%2.081.8348.9%-0.9 pp
Hòa26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Forfar win26%3.853.6024.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elgin1.36

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 51% · Xỉu 49%

Forfar1.36

Khách share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 56% · Không 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Elgin

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Forfar

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Thắng probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.36
Expected goals
1.36
ElginForfar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elgin signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Forfar signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Elgin vs Forfar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elgin thắng 48%,Hòa 26%,Forfar thắng 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Tài 2.5 51% · Current selection Tài