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SCO Шотландия - 2-я лига · Round 1 ·

Элгин vs Форфар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЭлгинФорфар
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 26% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Форфар win (25.7%)Двойной шанс1X74.3%1.35
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapФорфар winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Элгин win48%2.081.8348.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Форфар win26%3.853.6024.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Элгин1.36

Хозяева share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Форфар1.36

Гости share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Элгин

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Форфар

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.36
Expected goals
1.36
ЭлгинФорфар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Элгин signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Форфар signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Элгин vs Форфар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Элгин выигрыш 48%,Ничья 26%,Форфар выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше