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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Fixture ·

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw23%
Away win32%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Expected goals3.16Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 23% / 32%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Double chance1276.7%1.30
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
MSV Duisburg win45%2.22
Draw23%4.35
SV Meppen win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburg1.73

Home share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

SV Meppen1.43

Away share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburg

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

SV Meppen

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburg signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Meppen signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburg win 45%,Draw 23%,SV Meppen win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over