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DEU Duitsland - 3. Liga · Wedstrijd ·

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst32%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Expected goals3.16Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 23% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Dubbele Kans1276.7%1.30
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
MSV Duisburg win45%2.22
Gelijkspel23%4.35
SV Meppen win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburg1.73

Thuis share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

SV Meppen1.43

Uit share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburg

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

SV Meppen

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburg signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Meppen signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburg gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 23%,SV Meppen gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven