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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
DEU Duitsland - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

FC Ingolstadt vs Wurzburger Kickers

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst32%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC IngolstadtWurzburger Kickers
Expected goals3.16Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 23% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Dubbele Kans1276.7%1.30
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Ingolstadt win45%2.22
Gelijkspel23%4.35
Wurzburger Kickers win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ingolstadt1.73

Thuis share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

Wurzburger Kickers1.43

Uit share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Ingolstadt

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Wurzburger Kickers

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
12
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
FC IngolstadtWurzburger Kickers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ingolstadt signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wurzburger Kickers signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Ingolstadt vs Wurzburger Kickers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ingolstadt gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 23%,Wurzburger Kickers gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven