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DEU Германия - 3-я лига · Round 1 ·

ФК Ингольштадт vs Вюрцбургер Кикерс

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей32%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК ИнгольштадтВюрцбургер Кикерс
Expected goals3.16Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 23% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Двойной шанс1276.7%1.30
Больше 61% · Меньше 39%Goals 2.5Больше61%1.64
Да 63% · Нет 37%Обе забьютДа63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.6 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Ингольштадт win45%2.22
Ничья23%4.35
Вюрцбургер Кикерс win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Ингольштадт1.73

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 61% · Меньше 39%

Вюрцбургер Кикерс1.43

Гости share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 63% · Нет 37%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Ингольштадт

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Вюрцбургер Кикерс

0.00pts / match
Сыграно0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Баллы0

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
12
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
ФК ИнгольштадтВюрцбургер Кикерс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Ингольштадт signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Вюрцбургер Кикерс signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

ФК Ингольштадт vs Вюрцбургер Кикерс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Ингольштадт выигрыш 45%,Ничья 23%,Вюрцбургер Кикерс выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · ТБ 2.5 61% · Current selection Больше