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DEU Германия - 3-я лига · Round 38 ·

ФК Виктория Кельн vs Ян Регенсбург

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.47 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей31%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК Виктория КельнЯн Регенсбург
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 30% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Двойной шанс1270.4%1.42
Больше 45% · Меньше 55%Goals 2.5Меньше55%1.82
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютДа50%2.00
2.47 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.4 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Виктория Кельн win39%2.56
Ничья30%3.33
Ян Регенсбург win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Виктория Кельн1.36

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 45% · Меньше 55%

Ян Регенсбург1.11

Гости share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Виктория Кельн

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ян Регенсбург

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.36
Expected goals
1.11
ФК Виктория КельнЯн Регенсбург
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Виктория Кельн signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ян Регенсбург signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ФК Виктория Кельн vs Ян Регенсбург FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Виктория Кельн выигрыш 39%,Ничья 30%,Ян Регенсбург выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · ТБ 2.5 45% · Current selection Меньше