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DEU Tyskland - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

FC Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.47 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr39%
Uafgjort30%
Udesejr31%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr39% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Viktoria KölnJahn Regensburg
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
39% / 30% / 31%KampresultatHjemmesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Dobbeltchance1270.3%1.42
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Begge hold scorerJa50%2.00
2.47 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Viktoria Köln win39%2.56
Uafgjort30%3.33
Jahn Regensburg win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Viktoria Köln1.36

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Jahn Regensburg1.11

Ude share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Viktoria Köln

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Jahn Regensburg

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vundet probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.36
Expected goals
1.11
FC Viktoria KölnJahn Regensburg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Viktoria Köln signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jahn Regensburg signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FC Viktoria Köln vs Jahn Regensburg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Viktoria Köln vundet 39%,Uafgjort 30%,Jahn Regensburg vundet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under