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DEU Γερμανία - 3.Liga · Round 38 ·

Βικτόρια Κολωνίας vs Γιαν Ρέγκενσμπουργκ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.47 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου39%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου31%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Βικτόρια ΚολωνίαςΓιαν Ρέγκενσμπουργκ
Expected goals2.47Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
39% / 30% / 31%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1270.4%1.42
Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%Goals 2.5Κάτω55%1.82
Ναι 50% · Όχι 50%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι50%2.00
2.47 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Βικτόρια Κολωνίας win39%2.56
Ισοπαλία30%3.33
Γιαν Ρέγκενσμπουργκ win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Βικτόρια Κολωνίας1.36

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.47Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 45% · Κάτω 55%

Γιαν Ρέγκενσμπουργκ1.11

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 50% · Όχι 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Βικτόρια Κολωνίας

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γιαν Ρέγκενσμπουργκ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.36
Expected goals
1.11
Βικτόρια ΚολωνίαςΓιαν Ρέγκενσμπουργκ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Βικτόρια Κολωνίας signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γιαν Ρέγκενσμπουργκ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Βικτόρια Κολωνίας vs Γιαν Ρέγκενσμπουργκ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Βικτόρια Κολωνίας νίκη 39%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Γιαν Ρέγκενσμπουργκ νίκη 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.47 · Άνω 2.5 45% · Current selection Κάτω