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DEU Tyskland - 3. Liga · Kamp ·

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr45%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr32%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr45% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Expected goals3.16Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
45% / 23% / 32%KampresultatHjemmesejr45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Dobbeltchance1276.7%1.30
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Begge hold scorerJa63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
MSV Duisburg win45%2.22
Uafgjort23%4.35
SV Meppen win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburg1.73

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

SV Meppen1.43

Ude share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburg

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Ude-context · form sequence

SV Meppen

0.00pts / match
Spillet0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Point0

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vundet probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburg signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Meppen signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburg vundet 45%,Uafgjort 23%,SV Meppen vundet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over