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Duisburg vs SV Meppen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa45%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite32%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa45% selection probability
Projected score2–1DuisburgSV Meppen
Expected goals3.16Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
45% / 23% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Doppia Chance1276.7%1.30
Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%Goals 2.5Sopra61%1.64
Sì 63% · No 37%Entrambe le squadre segnano63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Duisburg win45%2.22
Pareggio23%4.35
SV Meppen win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Duisburg1.73

Casa share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 61% · Sotto 39%

SV Meppen1.43

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 63% · No 37%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Duisburg

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

SV Meppen

0.00pts / match
Giocate0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punti0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
DuisburgSV Meppen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Duisburg signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Meppen signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Duisburg vs SV Meppen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Duisburg vinta 45%,Pareggio 23%,SV Meppen vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Sopra 2.5 61% · Current selection Sopra