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DEU Niemcy - 3. Liga · Mecz ·

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy45%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości32%
Baseline forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy45% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Expected goals3.16Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
45% / 23% / 32%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Podwójna szansa1276.7%1.30
Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%Goals 2.5Powyżej61%1.64
Tak 63% · Nie 37%Obie drużyny strzeląTak63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
MSV Duisburg win45%2.22
Remis23%4.35
SV Meppen win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburg1.73

Gospodarze share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%

SV Meppen1.43

Goście share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 63% · Nie 37%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburg

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

SV Meppen

0.00pts / match
Rozegrane0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punkty0

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburg signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Meppen signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburg wygrana 45%,Remis 23%,SV Meppen wygrana 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Powyżej 2.5 61% · Current selection Powyżej