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DEU Allemagne - 3.Liga · Match ·

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile45%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile45% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Expected goals3.16Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
45% / 23% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Double chance1276.7%1.30
Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%Goals 2.5Plus de61%1.64
Oui 63% · Non 37%Les deux équipes marquentOui63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
MSV Duisburg win45%2.22
Nul23%4.35
SV Meppen win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburg1.73

Domicile share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 61% · Moins de 39%

SV Meppen1.43

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 63% · Non 37%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburg

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

SV Meppen

0.00pts / match
Joués0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburg signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Meppen signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburg victoire 45%,Nul 23%,SV Meppen victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Plus de 2.5 61% · Current selection Plus de