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DEU Alemania - 3. Liga · Partido ·

MSV Duisburgo vs SV Meppen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local45%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante32%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local45% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSV DuisburgoSV Meppen
Expected goals3.16Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de61% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
45% / 23% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Doble Oportunidad1276.7%1.30
Más de 61% · Menos de 39%Goals 2.5Más de61%1.64
Sí 63% · No 37%Ambos equipos marcan63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
MSV Duisburgo win45%2.22
Empate23%4.35
SV Meppen win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburgo1.73

Local share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 61% · Menos de 39%

SV Meppen1.43

Visitante share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 63% · No 37%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburgo

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

SV Meppen

0.00pts / match
Jugados0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Puntos0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
MSV DuisburgoSV Meppen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburgo signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Meppen signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburgo vs SV Meppen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburgo ganada 45%,Empate 23%,SV Meppen ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Más de 2.5 61% · Current selection Más de