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DEU Tyskland - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Köln

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.13 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr38%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr36%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr38% selection probability
Projected score2–2SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFortuna Köln
Expected goals3.13Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
38% / 26% / 36%KampresultatHjemmesejr38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Dobbeltchance1273.8%1.36
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Begge hold scorerJa63%1.59
3.13 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win38%2.632.4536.8%
Uafgjort26%3.853.4026.5%
Fortuna Köln win36%2.782.4536.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1.61

Hjemme share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals3.13Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Fortuna Köln1.52

Ude share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

1.50pts / match
Spillet2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Point3

SignalUde clean sheets: 2/3

Ude-context · form sequence

Fortuna Köln

2.00pts / match
Spillet3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Point6

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vundet probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.61
Expected goals
1.52
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFortuna Köln
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach signalUde clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Köln signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Köln FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vundet 38%,Uafgjort 26%,Fortuna Köln vundet 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over