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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Cologne

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.13 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw26%
Away win36%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score2–2SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFortuna Cologne
Expected goals3.13Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 26% / 36%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Double chance1273.8%1.36
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.13 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win38%2.632.4536.8%
Draw26%3.853.4026.5%
Fortuna Cologne win36%2.782.4536.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1.61

Home share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals3.13Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Fortuna Cologne1.52

Away share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

1.50pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Points3

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/3

Away-context · form sequence

Fortuna Cologne

2.00pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Points6

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.61
Expected goals
1.52
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFortuna Cologne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach signalAway clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Cologne signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Fortuna Cologne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win 38%,Draw 26%,Fortuna Cologne win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over