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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Round 38 ·

TSV Havelse vs VfB Stuttgart II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.17 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw24%
Away win39%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win39% selection probability
Projected score2–2TSV HavelseVfB Stuttgart II
Expected goals4.17Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over79% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes77% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 24% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Double chance1275.7%1.32
Over 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Over79%1.27
Yes 77% · No 23%Both teams scoreYes77%1.30
4.17 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
TSV Havelse win37%2.70
Draw24%4.17
VfB Stuttgart II win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

TSV Havelse2.05

Home share of expected goals 49.2%

Total expected goals4.17Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 79% · Under 21%

VfB Stuttgart II2.12

Away share of expected goals 50.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 77% · No 23%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

TSV Havelse

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

VfB Stuttgart II

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
6
2.05
Expected goals
2.12
TSV HavelseVfB Stuttgart II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01TSV Havelse signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02VfB Stuttgart II signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

TSV Havelse vs VfB Stuttgart II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

TSV Havelse win 37%,Draw 24%,VfB Stuttgart II win 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Over 2.5 79% · Current selection Over