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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

TSV Havelse vs VfB Stuttgart II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–24.17 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier37%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier39%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier39% selection probability
Projected score2–2TSV HavelseVfB Stuttgart II
Expected goals4.17Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over79% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa77% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
37% / 24% / 39%KampresultatBorteseier39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Dobbel sjanse1275.7%1.32
Over 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Over79%1.27
Ja 77% · Nei 23%Begge lag scorerJa77%1.30
4.17 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
TSV Havelse win37%2.70
Uavgjort24%4.17
VfB Stuttgart II win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

TSV Havelse2.05

Hjemme share of expected goals 49.2%

Total expected goals4.17Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 79% · Under 21%

VfB Stuttgart II2.12

Borte share of expected goals 50.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 77% · Nei 23%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

TSV Havelse

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

VfB Stuttgart II

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
6
2.05
Expected goals
2.12
TSV HavelseVfB Stuttgart II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01TSV Havelse signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02VfB Stuttgart II signalBorte matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

TSV Havelse vs VfB Stuttgart II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

TSV Havelse vunnet 37%,Uavgjort 24%,VfB Stuttgart II vunnet 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Over 2.5 79% · Current selection Over