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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.12 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw25%
Away win42%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Waldhof MannheimFortuna Dusseldorf
Expected goals3.12Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 25% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Double chance1274.8%1.34
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.12 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Waldhof Mannheim win33%3.032.9031.4%
Draw25%4.003.6025.3%
Fortuna Dusseldorf win42%2.382.1043.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Waldhof Mannheim1.51

Home share of expected goals 48.4%

Total expected goals3.12Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Fortuna Dusseldorf1.61

Away share of expected goals 51.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Waldhof Mannheim

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Fortuna Dusseldorf

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
42%
7
Points from supplied form
12
1.51
Expected goals
1.61
Waldhof MannheimFortuna Dusseldorf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Waldhof Mannheim signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Dusseldorf signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Waldhof Mannheim vs Fortuna Dusseldorf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Waldhof Mannheim win 33%,Draw 25%,Fortuna Dusseldorf win 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over