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DEU Deutschland - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Fortuna Köln

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.13 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg36%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score2–2SG Sonnenhof GroßaspachFortuna Köln
Expected goals3.13Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 26% / 36%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Doppelte Chance1273.8%1.36
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.13 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach win38%2.632.4536.8%
Unentschieden26%3.853.4026.5%
Fortuna Köln win36%2.782.4536.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach1.61

Heim share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals3.13Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

Fortuna Köln1.52

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach

1.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punkte3

SignalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/3

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Fortuna Köln

2.00pts / match
Gespielt3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punkte6

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.61
Expected goals
1.52
SG Sonnenhof GroßaspachFortuna Köln
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SG Sonnenhof Großaspach signalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fortuna Köln signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Fortuna Köln FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 26%,Fortuna Köln Gewinn 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über