Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 26% / 17%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Parnu JK Vaprus win (17.4%)Double chance1X82.6%1.21
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
JK Nomme Kalju win57%1.75
Draw26%3.85
Parnu JK Vaprus win17%5.88
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 73.9%
Total expected goals2.72Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 26.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchJK Nomme Kalju
WWDWD
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchParnu JK Vaprus
DLWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Win probability excluding draw
17%11
Points from supplied form
72.01
Expected goals
0.71JK Nomme KaljuParnu JK Vaprus
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
JK Nomme Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
JK Nomme Kalju win 57%，Draw 26%，Parnu JK Vaprus win 17%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。