MatchFormula Najít zápas
Menu
UTC+8
Časové pásmoAsia/Shanghai
Česky
EST Estonsko - Meistriliiga · Zápas ·

JK Nomme Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích57%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostů17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích57% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Nomme KaljuParnu JK Vaprus
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více51% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
57% / 26% / 17%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Parnu JK Vaprus win (17.4%)Dvojitá šance1X82.6%1.21
Více 51% · Méně 49%Goals 2.5Více51%1.96
Ano 45% · Ne 55%Oba týmy skórujíNe55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.9 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
JK Nomme Kalju win57%1.75
Remíza26%3.85
Parnu JK Vaprus win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Nomme Kalju2.01

Domácí share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 51% · Méně 49%

Parnu JK Vaprus0.71

Hosté share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 45% · Ne 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

2.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.01
Expected goals
0.71
JK Nomme KaljuParnu JK Vaprus
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Nomme Kalju signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Parnu JK Vaprus signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

JK Nomme Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Nomme Kalju výhra 57%,Remíza 26%,Parnu JK Vaprus výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Více 2.5 51% · Current selection Více