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JK Nomme Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır57%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır17%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır57% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Nomme KaljuParnu JK Vaprus
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst51% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
57% / 26% / 17%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Parnu JK Vaprus win (17.4%)Çifte Şans1X82.6%1.21
Üst 51% · Alt 49%Goals 2.5Üst51%1.96
Evet 45% · Hayır 55%Karşılıklı gol varHayır55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
JK Nomme Kalju win57%1.75
Beraberlik26%3.85
Parnu JK Vaprus win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Nomme Kalju2.01

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 51% · Alt 49%

Parnu JK Vaprus0.71

Deplasman share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 45% · Hayır 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.01
Expected goals
0.71
JK Nomme KaljuParnu JK Vaprus
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Nomme Kalju signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Parnu JK Vaprus signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

JK Nomme Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Nomme Kalju kazanç 57%,Beraberlik 26%,Parnu JK Vaprus kazanç 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · 2.5 Üst 51% · Current selection Üst