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EST Estonia - Meistriliiga · Partido ·

JK Nomme Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local57%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante17%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local57% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Nomme KaljuParnu JK Vaprus
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
57% / 26% / 17%Resultado del partidoVictoria local57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Parnu JK Vaprus win (17.4%)Doble Oportunidad1X82.6%1.21
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
JK Nomme Kalju win57%1.75
Empate26%3.85
Parnu JK Vaprus win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Nomme Kalju2.01

Local share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Parnu JK Vaprus0.71

Visitante share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Ganado probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.01
Expected goals
0.71
JK Nomme KaljuParnu JK Vaprus
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Nomme Kalju signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Parnu JK Vaprus signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

JK Nomme Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Nomme Kalju ganada 57%,Empate 26%,Parnu JK Vaprus ganada 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de