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EST Эстония - Мейстрилига · Матч ·

ФК Нымме Калью vs ФК Пярну Вапрус

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев57%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей17%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК Нымме КальюФК Пярну Вапрус
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
57% / 26% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Пярну Вапрус win (17.4%)Двойной шанс1X82.6%1.21
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Нымме Калью win57%1.75
Ничья26%3.85
ФК Пярну Вапрус win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Нымме Калью2.01

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

ФК Пярну Вапрус0.71

Гости share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Нымме Калью

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Пярну Вапрус

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.01
Expected goals
0.71
ФК Нымме КальюФК Пярну Вапрус
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Нымме Калью signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Пярну Вапрус signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ФК Нымме Калью vs ФК Пярну Вапрус FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Нымме Калью выигрыш 57%,Ничья 26%,ФК Пярну Вапрус выигрыш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше