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EST Εσθονία - Meistriliiga · Αγώνας ·

Νόμε Κάλιου vs Πάρνου JK Βάπρους

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου57%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου17%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Νόμε ΚάλιουΠάρνου JK Βάπρους
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
57% / 26% / 17%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Πάρνου JK Βάπρους win (17.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X82.6%1.21
Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%Goals 2.5Άνω51%1.96
Ναι 45% · Όχι 55%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Νόμε Κάλιου win57%1.75
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Πάρνου JK Βάπρους win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Νόμε Κάλιου2.01

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%

Πάρνου JK Βάπρους0.71

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 45% · Όχι 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Νόμε Κάλιου

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πάρνου JK Βάπρους

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.01
Expected goals
0.71
Νόμε ΚάλιουΠάρνου JK Βάπρους
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Νόμε Κάλιου signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πάρνου JK Βάπρους signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Νόμε Κάλιου vs Πάρνου JK Βάπρους FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Νόμε Κάλιου νίκη 57%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Πάρνου JK Βάπρους νίκη 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Άνω 2.5 51% · Current selection Άνω