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EST Estonia Meistriliiga · Round 23 ·

JK Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.69 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır26%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır49%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır49% selection probability
Projected score1–2JK Trans NarvaPaide Linnameeskond
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst50% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
26% / 25% / 49%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Çifte Şans1275%1.33
Üst 50% · Alt 50%Goals 2.5Üst50%2.00
Evet 47% · Hayır 53%Karşılıklı gol varHayır53%1.89
2.69 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.5 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapPaide Linnameeskond winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Trans Narva win26%3.853.3027.4%-1.4 pp
Beraberlik25%4.003.6025.1%-0.1 pp
Paide Linnameeskond win49%2.041.9047.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Trans Narva0.81

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 30.1%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 50% · Alt 50%

Paide Linnameeskond1.88

Deplasman share of expected goals 69.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 47% · Hayır 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

JK Trans Narva

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Paide Linnameeskond

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
49%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.81
Expected goals
1.88
JK Trans NarvaPaide Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Trans Narva signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paide Linnameeskond signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

JK Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Trans Narva kazanç 26%,Beraberlik 25%,Paide Linnameeskond kazanç 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · 2.5 Üst 50% · Current selection Üst