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EST エストニア メスタリリーガ · Round 23 ·

JKナルヴァトランス vs パイデ・リナメースコンド

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.69 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利26%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利49%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利49% selection probability
Projected score1–2JKナルヴァトランスパイデ・リナメースコンド
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー50% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
26% / 25% / 49%試合結果アウェイ勝利49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)ダブルチャンス1275%1.33
オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%Goals 2.5オーバー50%2.00
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.69 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
10.5 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapパイデ・リナメースコンド winDifference+1.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JKナルヴァトランス win26%3.853.3027.4%-1.4 pp
引き分け25%4.003.6025.1%-0.1 pp
パイデ・リナメースコンド win49%2.041.9047.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JKナルヴァトランス0.81

ホーム share of expected goals 30.1%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%

パイデ・リナメースコンド1.88

アウェイ share of expected goals 69.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

JKナルヴァトランス

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

パイデ・リナメースコンド

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
勝ち probability excluding draw
49%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.81
Expected goals
1.88
JKナルヴァトランスパイデ・リナメースコンド
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JKナルヴァトランス signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02パイデ・リナメースコンド signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

JKナルヴァトランス vs パイデ・リナメースコンド FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JKナルヴァトランス 勝ち 26%,引き分け 25%,パイデ・リナメースコンド 勝ち 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · オーバー 2.5 50% · Current selection オーバー