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Harju JK Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–33.84 expected goals
Away form
Home win21%
Draw23%
Away win56%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win56% selection probability
Projected score1–3Harju JK LaagriFC Levadia Tallinn
Expected goals3.84Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over74% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
21% / 23% / 56%Match resultAway win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Harju JK Laagri win (21.3%)Double chanceX278.7%1.27
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.84 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
10.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Harju JK Laagri win21%4.76
Draw23%4.35
FC Levadia Tallinn win56%1.79

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Harju JK Laagri1.25

Home share of expected goals 32.6%

Total expected goals3.84Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%

FC Levadia Tallinn2.59

Away share of expected goals 67.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Harju JK Laagri

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Levadia Tallinn

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Win probability excluding draw
56%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.25
Expected goals
2.59
Harju JK LaagriFC Levadia Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Harju JK Laagri signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Levadia Tallinn signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Harju JK Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Harju JK Laagri win 21%,Draw 23%,FC Levadia Tallinn win 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.84 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over