Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 29% / 17%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kocaelispor win (17.1%)Double chance1X82.9%1.21
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 32% · No 68%Both teams scoreNo68%1.47
2.08 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Istanbul Basaksehir win54%1.85
Draw29%3.45
Kocaelispor win17%5.88
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 75.5%
Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%
Away share of expected goals 24.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 32% · No 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchIstanbul Basaksehir
LDWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchKocaelispor
LLDLD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Win probability excluding draw
17%7
Points from supplied form
21.57
Expected goals
0.51Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Istanbul Basaksehir win 54%，Draw 29%，Kocaelispor win 17%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.08 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under。