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INT Türkei - Süper Lig · Spiel ·

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score2–12.08 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg54%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter65% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
54% / 29% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kocaelispor win (17.1%)Doppelte Chance1X82.9%1.21
Über 35% · Unter 65%Goals 2.5Unter65%1.54
Ja 32% · Nein 68%Beide Teams treffenNein68%1.47
2.08 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Istanbul Basaksehir win54%1.85
Unentschieden29%3.45
Kocaelispor win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Istanbul Basaksehir1.57

Heim share of expected goals 75.5%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 35% · Unter 65%

Kocaelispor0.51

Auswärts share of expected goals 24.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nein 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Istanbul Basaksehir

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Kocaelispor

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.57
Expected goals
0.51
Istanbul BasaksehirKocaelispor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Istanbul Basaksehir signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kocaelispor signalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Istanbul Basaksehir Gewinn 54%,Unentschieden 29%,Kocaelispor Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Über 2.5 35% · Current selection Unter