Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
38% / 33% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional win (29.3%)Doppia Chance1X70.7%1.41
Sopra 30% · Sotto 70%Goals 2.5Sotto70%1.43
Sì 38% · No 62%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo62%1.61
1.92 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Santa Clara win38%2.63
Pareggio33%3.03
Nacional win29%3.45
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 56.3%
Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 30% · Sotto 70%
Trasferta share of expected goals 43.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSanta Clara
LWDWD
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8
SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchNacional
LWLLW
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6
SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%8
Points from supplied form
61.08
Expected goals
0.84Santa ClaraNacional
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
Santa Clara vs Nacional FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Santa Clara vinta 38%，Pareggio 33%，Nacional vinta 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.92 · Sopra 2.5 30% · Current selection Sotto。